{"id":727,"date":"2018-12-25T08:57:03","date_gmt":"2018-12-25T16:57:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/?p=727"},"modified":"2019-12-26T11:21:23","modified_gmt":"2019-12-26T19:21:23","slug":"200-scott-e-page-modeling-complex-systems-and-applications-in-the-model-thinker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/200-scott-e-page-modeling-complex-systems-and-applications-in-the-model-thinker\/","title":{"rendered":"200: Scott E. Page | Modeling, Complex Systems, And Applications In &#8220;The Model Thinker&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/97804650946391-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-738\" width=\"204\" height=\"316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/97804650946391-1.jpg 436w, https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/97804650946391-1-194x300.jpg 194w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 204px) 100vw, 204px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>welcome Professor Scott. E Page, Ph. D., of the University of Michigan, to episode 200 of the show<\/li><li>he currently teaches complex systems, computer science, and economics<\/li><li>also has taught an online course to initially 60000 people, and then a million people in its second iteration<\/li><li>on this episode, we discussed his career, many of the models presented in the book, and some applications of them in this world<\/li><li>many-models approach to modeling, that helps prevent modeling gaps<\/li><li>Markov models and their ability to represent an equilibrium state, with percentages representing transfer from one state to another<\/li><li>the impact of diversity on complex systems, which has been a large part of Professor Page&#8217;s focus, also in his earlier books <em>The&nbsp;Diversity&nbsp;[Bonus]<\/em> and <em>Diversity&nbsp;and&nbsp;Complexity<\/em><\/li><li>how socioeconomic status is more likely to continue at the lower and upper bounds than for middle class folks, though they are 50% likely<\/li><li>discussion about entropy as representation of uncertainty, and how it differs from variance equitability of options<\/li><li>the Matthew effect of some support for something causing more support for it, causing a snowball<\/li><li>opioid models, and some of the issues with their treatment<\/li><li>we covered other topics not listed here, and it was great to speak with Professor Page about his material, which I am also interested in<\/li><li>you can check out <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Model-Thinker-What-Need-Know\/dp\/0465094627\">The Model Thinker<\/a> on Amazon, look at <a href=\"https:\/\/sites.lsa.umich.edu\/scottepage\/\">Professor Page&#8217;s Michigan webpage<\/a>, or look at a listing of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/-\/e\/B001IGSQKQ\">all his books<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/scott-e-page.1542230654-708x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-729\" width=\"354\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/scott-e-page.1542230654-708x1024.jpg 708w, https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/scott-e-page.1542230654-207x300.jpg 207w, https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/scott-e-page.1542230654.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 354px) 100vw, 354px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"powerpress_player\" id=\"powerpress_player_614\"><audio class=\"wp-audio-shortcode\" id=\"audio-727-1\" preload=\"none\" style=\"width: 100%;\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"audio\/mpeg\" src=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/thearmenshow\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/episodes\/tas200scottpage.mp3?_=1\" \/><a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/thearmenshow\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/episodes\/tas200scottpage.mp3\">http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/thearmenshow\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/episodes\/tas200scottpage.mp3<\/a><\/audio><\/div><p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_links_mp3\" style=\"margin-bottom: 1px !important;\">Podcast: <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/thearmenshow\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/episodes\/tas200scottpage.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_pinw\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Play in new window\" onclick=\"return powerpress_pinw('https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/?powerpress_pinw=727-podcast');\" rel=\"nofollow\">Play in new window<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/thearmenshow\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/episodes\/tas200scottpage.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_d\" title=\"Download\" rel=\"nofollow\" download=\"tas200scottpage.mp3\">Download<\/a><\/p><p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_subscribe_links\">Subscribe: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/feed\/podcast\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_rss\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe via RSS\" rel=\"nofollow\">RSS<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>welcome Professor Scott. E Page, Ph. D., of the University of Michigan, to episode 200 of the show he currently teaches complex systems, computer science, and economics also has taught an online course to initially 60000 people, and then a million people in its second iteration on this episode, we discussed his career, many of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[124],"tags":[25,24,21,22],"class_list":["post-727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-interviews","tag-application","tag-entropy","tag-professor","tag-university-of-michigan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=727"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/727\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1258,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/727\/revisions\/1258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.armenshirvanian.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}